2024 Polls: Biden Trails with Younger Voters

A new poll from NBC News this weekend shows President Joe Biden in his worst position to date — with no signs of clearer skies ahead.

The incumbent now trails his likely 2024 challenger, Donald Trump, among voters nationwide. despite the former president's continued legal escapades, Mr. Biden trails his opponent 46-44.

The reason for his continued slide is clear: Americans are fast becoming burdened with the president's handling of US foreign policy and America's presence on the world stage. The spiraling conflict in Israel has only served to turn America's younger, long-leaning Democratic voters against the president as seven in 10 voters aged 18-34 disapprove of Mr. Biden's response.

His approval rating is now at 40 percent — the lowest NBC has recorded at any time during the Biden presidency. This poll also marks the first time Biden has trailed Trump in an NBC survey.

A huge generation gap in the US has grown in recent weeks amid the Israel-Hamas conflict. Older generations have largely favored the status quo in Washington, where politicians have lined up to defend Israel's military actions in the Gaza Strip and elsewhere.

Younger Americans have been broadly divided in favor of the US call for a ceasefire in the region and are largely opposed to the recent Israeli military campaign that has left a large number of civilian dead in the Gaza Strip.

Polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics show President Joe Biden leading, as expected, in the 2024 polls by a wide margin.

So far, only two other candidates have announced their intention to run for president as a Democrat – self-help author Marianne Williamson and Congressman Dean Phillips.

President Joe Biden – About 71 percent

Marianne Williamson – About 8.2 percent

Dean Phillips – About 4.7 percent

Ron DeSandis said he believes both Donald Trump and Joe Biden are too old to lead the country as the president celebrates his 81st birthday today.

Speaking to CNN's Jake Tapper on Sunday, the Florida governor and 2024 candidate argued that he is in the “prime of my life” while his two rivals are far from it.

“I just think that's something that's been proven with Joe Biden. Father Time is invincible. Donald Trump is not exempt from any of this,” he said.

Former President Donald Trump is more popular among younger voters, according to NBC polls.

When voters aged 18 to 34 were asked which candidate they would vote for in a race, 46 percent said Mr. Trump while only 42 percent said Biden.

The findings could spell trouble for Mr. Biden, who managed to win the presidency in 2020 thanks in part to younger voters.

The NBC poll mirrors similar results found by a recent CNN poll, but shows opposite results from the Quinnipiac poll, New York TimesFox News and others showing Mr. Biden has a strong lead with younger voters.

GOP presidential contender Nikki Haley would beat both Florida Gov. Ron DeSandis and President Joe Biden in New Hampshire, according to a new poll.

Ms. Haley is the only GOP candidate who would beat Mr. Biden in the state, the poll showed, with Ms. Haley garnering 45 percent to Mr. Biden's 39 percent. Mr. Trump, on the other hand, is five points behind Biden in the poll.

The Emerson College poll polled 917 registered voters between November 10 and 13. Ms. Haley is up 14 points from August, while Mr. DeSantis is down 10 points since March.

Donald Trump has a strong lead in the 2024 runoff and the first nation primary in New Hampshire.

The poll also shows Trump's former UN ambassador, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, in second place in the state at this stage of the race, with former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie also climbing to sector, occupying third place.

Mr. Trump isn't doing as well in New Hampshire as he is nationally, but he still gets 42 percent support in the state among likely GOP primary voters in New Hampshire.

20% say they would support Ms. Haley right now, and 14% support Mr. Christie.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSandis, who entered the race as Mr. Trump's primary challenger, is in single digits, coming in fourth with nine percent.

Biotech entrepreneur and anti-awakening author Vivek Ramaswamy garnered the support of eight percent.

Ms. Haley's support is up eight points compared to September, Mr. Ramaswamy's is down about five points, and support for Mr. Trump and Mr. Christie has remained mostly flat.

A two-day poll completed on Tuesday by Reuters and Ipsos found that 51 percent of 1,006 adults polled across the country supported President Joe Biden, with 49 percent supporting his predecessor Donald Trump.

About half of Biden's supporters said they were voting for the president to keep Trump out of the White House rather than give Biden another term.

Meanwhile, only 38 percent said they would vote “to support Joe Biden and his policies.”

Among those who support the former president, 42 percent said they voted for Mr. Trump and 40 percent said they voted against Mr. Biden.

Anti-vaccination conspiracy theorist and independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 20 percent in a three-way race with President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump in a poll conducted by Reuters and Ipsos.

Thirty percent backed Mr. Biden in the poll, with 32 percent backing Mr. Trump.

The online poll gathered the views of 1,006 US adults across the country.

President Joe Biden would win the popular vote but narrowly lose the Electoral College to his predecessor Donald Trump if the election were held today.

The new survey comes from Stack Data Strategy, showing Mr Trump would win the Electoral College 292 to 246 with Biden winning the popular vote 49 to 48 percent.

Stack surveyed 15,000 Americans and used those results to make state-level predictions, Politico notes.

Trump's victory is based on his winning four states – Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. These were the states with the closest margins in the 2020 election. They all went from Trump in 2016 to Biden in 2020, and this poll shows Trump taking them back by a narrow margin — 1.4 percent in Arizona, 3, 3 in Georgia, 2.3 in Pennsylvania and 0.9 percent. in Wisconsin.

If other candidates are added to the mix – such as independents Robert F Kennedy Jr and Cornel West, and candidates from the Green and Liberal parties – Mr Trump also manages to win Nevada and its six electoral votes. The additional candidates together garnered 10 percent in that state.

The survey also showed Trump beating Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom.

But Biden beat Florida Gov. Ron DeSandis, winning the Electoral College 359 to 179.

In the four narrow states projected to go to Mr. Trump, when respondents are asked about “other” candidates, they garner a smaller share of the vote – 4 percent in Arizona, 2.6 in Georgia, 3.1 in Pennsylvania, and 3.2 in Wisconsin.

But when respondents were asked specifically about Mr. Kennedy, Mr. West and the availability of third parties, support rose to between 8 and 11 percent.

After last week's third Republican debate, voters are reassessing how they feel about the remaining GOP candidates.

Ron DeSandis is at about 14 percent.

Nikki Haley counts around 8.8%.

Chris Christie counts around 2.8%.

Vivek Ramaswamy counts around 5%.

Asa Hutchinson, Doug Burgum and Ryan Binkely are all in the polls below 1 percent.

So far, former President Donald Trump remains far ahead of any other candidate in national polls averaging +44 points over his political opponents, according to RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight.

Mr. Trump did not participate in the third debate and instead hosted a rally near the site where the Republican candidates duked it out.

Despite the former president's opposition to joining his fellow candidates on stage, he has a strong lead in swing states over any other campaign – including Democrats.